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Promise Tracker

Canada's AI Strategy, tracked from promise to public proof.

A conservative public register for the six pillars, official outcome targets, and explicit key actions in Canada's National AI Strategy. Strategy promises are commitments, not proof of delivery.

Promise Tracker

Promise-to-proof board

Four lanes translate the official strategy register into a public-accountability view. Each lane opens the same promise register with the existing filter contract.

Open promise register

Watch next

Evidence queue

Commitments where the next public document or report would most directly improve the tracker.

Protecting CanadiansOpen row

Accelerate AI security research with law enforcement

Support applied AI research, testing, and deployment for fraud prevention, cyber defence, threat detection, and data protection.

Next evidence to watch
Public calls, funded projects, evaluation reports, and privacy oversight evidence.
Protecting CanadiansOpen row

Advance AI transparency and watermarking

Work on transparency measures such as watermarking so Canadians can identify AI interactions and content.

Next evidence to watch
Watermarking standards, disclosure guidance, implementation pilots, and compliance reporting.
Protecting CanadiansOpen row

Create Canada Trusted AI Certification

Create a certification program to help Canadians identify trustworthy AI products in the marketplace.

Next evidence to watch
Program launch, criteria, accredited assessors, certified products, and appeal processes.
Protecting CanadiansOpen row

Work with frontier AI companies on cyber and national security

Coordinate with frontier AI companies and international partners to protect Canadians and critical systems.

Next evidence to watch
Memoranda, joint evaluations, cyber guidance, and published threat reports.
8measurable targets

Numeric targets are shown with baselines only when a public metric exists.

70promises tracked

Outcome targets plus every explicit key-action commitment from the full strategy.

36source-backed status rows

Rows with an official target, policy stage, funding, launch, or baseline source attached.

34progress evidence gaps

Rows where the strategy promise exists but delivery evidence is not wired yet.

Evidence atlas

Where each pillar has public evidence

Select any non-zero cell to filter the promise register. The matrix shows evidence status, not delivery proof.

Pillar by evidence status counts for Canada's AI Strategy commitments.
PillarTotal
Protecting Canadians00011
Empowering Canadians0019
Adoption012
Sovereign AI0010
Canadian champions00010
Partnerships00008

Protecting Canadians

11 commitments

Empowering Canadians

19 commitments

Adoption

12 commitments

Sovereign AI

10 commitments

Canadian champions

10 commitments

Partnerships

8 commitments

Current public measurements

Where Canada has real numbers today

These are baseline or adjacent public measurements. They help ground the strategy, but only a current value that matches a stated target is treated as progress evidence.

AdoptionTarget baseline
19.2%

Canadian businesses using AI

Official target
60% by 2034
Timeframe
Q2 2026

Statistics Canada's narrow current-use measure covers businesses using AI to produce goods or deliver services in the previous 12 months, up from 12.2% in Q2 2025.

Source and next evidence

Watch: The summer 2026 final CSBC cycle or a successor official release that repeats the current-use question.

AdoptionIntent signal
14.5%

Businesses planning AI use

No plans / unsure
66.7% / 18.9%
Timeframe
Q3 2025

Planning to use AI over the next 12 months is a demand signal. It is not adoption already achieved and is not added to the current-use rate.

Source and next evidence

Watch: Whether planning converts into reported current use, plus reasons businesses still do not plan to adopt AI.

Empowering CanadiansLabour-market context
~60%

Workers in highly AI-exposed jobs

Exposure split
31% lower complementarity; 29% higher complementarity
Timeframe
May 2021 census-based estimate

This is an experimental exposure estimate for job transformation risk and complementarity. It does not predict actual job losses or gains.

Source and next evidence

Watch: Updated labour-market evidence linking AI exposure, adoption, wages, displacement, reskilling, and job creation.

Protecting CanadiansTransparency signal
412

Federal AI Register entries

Register state
MVP CSV, April 2026
Timeframe
CSV checked June 6, 2026

This static count comes from the public Open Government CSV. It shows disclosure activity, not a complete inventory or quality rating.

Source and next evidence

Watch: Register scope updates, department coverage, status changes, assessments, and system retirement or launch dates.

AdoptionPublic-service scale
270,000

GCtranslate Phase 1 reach

Institutions
43 federal institutions
Timeframe
Rollout started April 29, 2026

A federal public-service lighthouse project gives a measurable adoption example, but it is adjacent context rather than proof that the new national strategy has delivered.

Source and next evidence

Watch: Enterprise rollout completion, user adoption, quality, cost, accessibility, official-languages outcomes, and sustained usage.

1 of 5 public measurements currently line up with an official strategy target. The rest are context signals, not scorecard points.

Targets and measurable signals

Measured progress stays separate from promises

A bar appears only when a public latest value can be compared with a stated target. Pending rails mean the tracker needs delivery evidence before it can show progress.

Adoption

Business AI adoption

Share of Canadian businesses using AI to produce goods or deliver services

Latest
19.2%
Target
60%
Target year
2034

32% of stated target value using the latest public value.

Evidence notes

The tracker shows latest divided by target, not a claim that the strategy is 32% delivered. Statistics Canada's Q2 2026 release is the latest official current-use measure.

Watch: The final Canadian Survey on Business Conditions collection in summer 2026 or a successor official AI-use series.

Adoption

AI-adoption jobs

New jobs through AI adoption

Latest
Pending
Target
Up to 250,000
Target year
2031

Measurement pending

Evidence notes

This is an official outcome target. No public measurement series is wired yet for jobs attributable to AI adoption.

Watch: Statistics Canada or program reporting that separates net new AI-adoption jobs from general labour-market movement.

Empowering Canadians

Youth opportunities and literacy

Youth work opportunities, student reach, and educator training

Latest
Pending
Target
90,000 youth opportunities; 1M students; 3,000+ educators
Target year
2031 / not fixed

Delivery evidence pending

Evidence notes

The strategy gives public reach targets, but this tracker needs delivery counts before showing progress.

Watch: National AI Literacy Initiative, work-placement, Skills for Success, Mitacs, and AI+X reporting.

Sovereign AI + Canadian champions

Public supercomputer and compute access

Sovereign compute capacity and access

Latest
$700M compute access commitment; supercomputer delivery pending
Target
Public supercomputer by 2031; enhanced SME compute access
Target year
2031 / ongoing

Delivery evidence pending

Evidence notes

Funding and target language are public. Delivery needs procurement, capacity, access, pricing, and usage evidence.

Watch: Procurement notices, capacity specifications, Compute Access Fund awards, access policy, and SME usage.

Adoption

GDP and productivity gains

GDP gains from labour productivity and AI commercialization/application

Latest
Pending
Target
3% GDP increase / nearly $200B
Target year
Not fixed

Attribution method pending

Evidence notes

This is an economic-impact ambition, not a directly observed public metric. It should be tracked through productivity and adoption evidence over time.

Watch: Federal methodology for attributing GDP gains to AI adoption and commercialization.

Partnerships

Strategic AI alliances

Trusted partnerships and alliance milestones

Latest
11 AI-related partnerships referenced
Target
Strategic multilateral alliance
Target year
Not fixed

Milestone evidence pending

Evidence notes

The tracker treats alliances as milestones until public joint work, procurement, standards, or investment outputs can be verified.

Watch: Formal membership, joint work programs, procurement opportunities, standards outputs, and investment announcements.

Evidence gaps

Where public proof is thinnest

Ranked by unresolved rows, not editorial severity.

Empowering Canadians

13 gaps

Evidence that would close rows:

  • Program launch or delivery report
  • Institutional participation data
  • Learner, educator, and placement counts

Adoption

7 gaps

Evidence that would close rows:

  • Statistics Canada or official metric release
  • Procurement notice or award
  • Program uptake and sector delivery report

Sovereign AI

5 gaps

Evidence that would close rows:

  • Procurement notice or award
  • Compute, data, or facility milestone
  • Access policy and usage reporting

Promise register

Every promise, target, and key action

Filter the register by pillar, evidence model, status, or target year. The table keeps official promises separate from public progress evidence.

2matching2 displayed0 need a progress source

Accountability pipeline

From promise to public proof

These lanes translate the detailed status matrix into a reader-facing accountability flow. They show what kind of evidence is visible, not whether the strategy has succeeded.

2 preview cards

These cards update with the same filter state as the matrix and register.

AdoptionMeasurable baseline

Raise business AI adoption to 60%

Increase Canadian business AI adoption from about 12% to 60% by 2034.

Empowering CanadiansLaunched

Track societal, labour-market, and economic AI impacts

Use Statistics Canada's Artificial Intelligence and Technology Measurement Program to guide policy.

Evidence gap shortcut

0 matching commitments need a separate public progress source in this view.

When do the promises come due? Only 6 of 70 commitments carry a stated target year.

Canada AI strategy commitments, evidence status, measurement notes, and next evidence to watch.
Evidence note
Raise business AI adoption to 60%Increase Canadian business AI adoption from about 12% to 60% by 2034.Measurable target
Adoption
Measurable baselineexternal progress source
60%Latest: 19.2%Target year: 2034
The strategy launch baseline is 12.2%; Statistics Canada's latest current-use release is 19.2%. This is a measurement update, not proof of strategy impact.Watch: The final CSBC cycle in summer 2026 or a successor official business AI-use series.ISED overviewISED full strategyStatistics Canada Q2 2025Statistics Canada Q2 2026
Track societal, labour-market, and economic AI impactsUse Statistics Canada's Artificial Intelligence and Technology Measurement Program to guide policy.Program milestone
Empowering Canadians
Launchedexternal progress source
Ongoing measurement programLatest: Business AI-use series available
Statistics Canada already provides business-use measures, but broader societal impact measures need wiring.Watch: New Statistics Canada labour, social, business, and technology-measurement releases.ISED full strategyStatistics Canada Q2 2025Statistics Canada Q2 2026Statistics Canada Q3 2025
Measurable target

Raise business AI adoption to 60%

Increase Canadian business AI adoption from about 12% to 60% by 2034.

Pillar
Adoption
Status
Measurable baseline
Target
60%
Evidence
The strategy launch baseline is 12.2%; Statistics Canada's latest current-use release is 19.2%. This is a measurement update, not proof of strategy impact.

Watch: The final CSBC cycle in summer 2026 or a successor official business AI-use series.

Program milestone

Track societal, labour-market, and economic AI impacts

Use Statistics Canada's Artificial Intelligence and Technology Measurement Program to guide policy.

Pillar
Empowering Canadians
Status
Launched
Target
Ongoing measurement program
Evidence
Statistics Canada already provides business-use measures, but broader societal impact measures need wiring.

Watch: New Statistics Canada labour, social, business, and technology-measurement releases.

All matching commitments are visible.

Source notes

What the source labels mean

Official strategy pages establish what was promised. They do not prove money was spent well, programs reached people, or outcomes changed.

official strategy

ISED overview

Overview of Canada's National Artificial Intelligence Strategy: AI for All

Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada · June 4, 2026

High-level public outcomes, six-pillar framing, and plain-language strategy context.

A strategy overview is not delivery evidence. It states intent and headline targets.

Open source
official strategy

ISED full strategy

Canada's National Artificial Intelligence Strategy: AI for All

Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada · June 5, 2026

The controlling source for outcome targets and explicit key-action commitments.

Official commitments are not independent proof that programs have launched, reached users, or delivered outcomes.

Open source
official statistic

Statistics Canada Q2 2025

Businesses using AI to produce goods or deliver services

Statistics Canada · June 16, 2025

Narrow, official baseline for businesses using AI in goods or services.

Does not capture informal employee use, pilots, or broader generative-AI experimentation.

Open source
official statistic

Statistics Canada Q2 2026

Canadian Survey on Business Conditions, second quarter 2026

Statistics Canada · May 27, 2026

Current business AI-use measure and comparison against Q2 2025 and Q2 2024.

The Canadian Survey on Business Conditions is scheduled for its final collection cycle in summer 2026, so the tracker may need a successor series.

Open source
official statistic

Statistics Canada Q3 2025

Businesses planning to use AI

Statistics Canada · August 27, 2025

Businesses planning to adopt AI and reported reasons for non-adoption.

Plans are not delivered adoption and should not be added to the current-use rate.

Open source
official statistic

StatCan job exposure

Exposure to artificial intelligence in Canadian jobs: Experimental estimates

Statistics Canada · September 25, 2024

Context for workforce adaptation, training, and job-transformation commitments.

Experimental estimates use 2021 census and O*NET-based exposure methods; they do not show actual job losses or gains from AI.

Open source
government program

GC public-service AI strategy

AI Strategy for the Federal Public Service 2025-2027

Government of Canada · March 2025

Federal public-sector AI governance, delivery, and responsible-use context.

Does not measure whole-of-government AI adoption or delivery outcomes.

Open source
government program

GC AI year review

AI Strategy for the Federal Public Service 2025-2027: Year in Review

Government of Canada · May 25, 2026

Public-service AI adoption, training, transparency, and lighthouse-project context.

Federal public-service progress is not the same as delivery of Canada's whole-of-economy AI for All strategy.

Open source
registry

Federal AI register

Algorithmic Impact Assessment and federal AI register

Government of Canada · Ongoing

Public disclosure of some federal automated decision systems and assessment artifacts.

Registry coverage is not a complete inventory of all government AI use.

Open source
registry

GC AI Register CSV

Government of Canada AI Register (Minimum Viable Product)

Open Government Portal · April 28, 2026

A public transparency count for registered federal AI systems.

The MVP register is not a complete inventory of every federal AI use and should not be used as a whole-government adoption rate.

Open source
government program

CIFAR AI strategy

Pan-Canadian Artificial Intelligence Strategy

CIFAR · Ongoing

Research-network and AI-chair context that sits behind the strategy's talent commitments.

Useful program context, but not a full delivery tracker for the new strategy.

Open source

Reading rule: an official commitment row means the promise exists in the public strategy. A progress row needs a separate public source such as legislation, funding awards, procurement notices, program reports, Statistics Canada releases, registry entries, or partnership outputs.

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